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Survey of 750 Likely Voters - Virginia Statewide Survey – VA Governor's Election Poll – October 18-22, 2017

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SSRS fielded a survey of likely voters in Virginia (persons living in the State who are registered to vote and said they are almost certain or very likely to vote in the next election). Sample was RDD LL and Cell, drawn in geographic proportion to the registered voter population in the state of Virginia. These data were weighted to reflect the voter registration population of Virginia ages 18 years of age and older. This weighting combined with rounding is responsible for percentages not always equaling exactly 100%; this phenomenon is most obvious in the allocation by county as the very large number of response categories provided a multitude of opportunities for rounding and resulted in totals of significantly less than 100% (89%) overall.

The weighting process takes into account the disproportionate probabilities of household and respondent selection due to the number of landlines or cellphones answered by respondents and their households. Following application of the above weights, the sample is post-stratified and balanced by key demographics such as age, race, sex, education, marital status, and party affiliation. The sample is also weighted to reflect the distribution of phone usage in Virginia, meaning the proportion of those who are cell phone only, landline only, and mixed users. A total of 750 interviews were conducted between October18th and October 22nd, 2017; 400 using Landline sample and 350 using Cell sample. This topline is provided by SSRS.

The margin of error for the survey is +/- 4.2% for the full sample.

Q3. If the general election for Governor of Virginia were held today, for whom would you vote:

Frequency Percent
Ed Gillespie 304 41%
Ralph Nortdam 245 33%
Don’t know/Refused 201 27%
Total 750 100%

Q4. Please tell me which one issue on this list should be the top priority of the next Governor of Virginia, no matter who it is:

Frequency Percent
Working to improve the economy and create jobs 256 34%
Education 135 18%
Gun control 66 9%
Health care 175 23%
Improving transportation infrastructure such as bridges, tunnels, and road surfaces 95 13%
Don't Know/Refused 21 3%
Total 750 100%

Q5. How about Ed Gillespie (R)? (Do you have a very favorable, favorable, unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of Ed Gillespie?)

Frequency Percent
Very Favorable 121 16%
Favorable 256 34%
Unfavorable 179 24%
Very unfavorable 73 10%
Heard of but no opinion 45 6%
Never heard of 15 2%
Don't Know/Refused 60 8%
Total 750 100%

Q6. How about Ralph Northam (D)? (Do you have a very favorable, favorable, unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of Ralph Northam?)

Frequency Percent
Very Favorable 103 14%
Favorable 237 32%
Unfavorable 181 24%
Very unfavorable 89 12%
Heard of but no opinion 54 7%
Never heard of 26 3%
Don't Know/Refused 61 8%
Total 750 100%

Q7. How closely would you say you pay attention to political advertisements running on television or the radio? Would you say:

Frequency Percent
Not at all 177 24%
A little 192 26%
Somewhat 219 29%
Very closely 159 21%
Don't Know /Refused 3 *%
Total 750 100%

Q8. Does most political advertising on TV or radio promote the candidate who is paying for it or does it attack the opposing candidate?

Frequency Percent
Promote 136 18%
Attack 511 68%
Don't Know /Refused 103 14%
Total 750 100%

Q10. Do negative campaign ads make you more or LESS likely to vote for the candidate who produced the ad?

Frequency Percent
More likely 62 8%
Less likely 434 58%
No Impact 222 30%
Don't know/Refused 32 4%
Total 750 100%

Q11. Now on to some other topics. Do you favor or oppose removing statues and memorials of Confederate leaders from public spaces?

Frequency Percent
Favor removal 229 31%
Oppose removal 461 62%
Don't know/Refused 60 8%
Total 750 100%

Q12. The term "Sanctuary City" is not a legal term but a general term often used to describe 1 of about 300 jurisdictions which are cities that limit their cooperation with the national government’s effort to enforce immigration law. People who favor Sanctuary Cities say they are safer because they promote a better relationship between undocumented immigrants and law enforcement while on the other hand, people who oppose Sanctuary Cities say they harbor criminals and create a dangerous environment for US citizens. What is your opinion? Do you favor or oppose the concept of Sanctuary Cities?

Frequency Percent
Favor Sanctuary Cities 273 36%
Oppose Sanctuary Cities 399 53%
Don't know/Refused 78 10%
Total 750 100%

Q13. And how would you feel about establishing a Sanctuary City in the Commonwealth of Virginia? Would you favor or oppose establishing a Sanctuary City in Virginia?

Frequency Percent
Favor Sanctuary City in VA 267 36%
Oppose Sanctuary City in VA 420 56%
Don't know/Refused 63 8%
Total 750 100%

Q14. And finally, how would you feel about your own city or municipality becoming an established Sanctuary City? Would you favor or oppose the area in which you live becoming a Sanctuary City?

Frequency Percent
Favor hometown Sanctuary City 256 96%
Oppose hometown Sanctuary 5 2%
Don't know/Refused 6 2%
Total 267 100%

Q15. Now, let’s turn to a different topic. Overall, do you approve or do you disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as the President of the United States?

Frequency Percent
Approve 296 39%
Disapprove 419 56%
Don't know/Refused 35 5%
Total 750 100%

Q16. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the job Terry McAuliffe is doing as the current Governor of Virginia?

Frequency Percent
Approve 389 52%
Disapprove 286 38%
Don't know/Refused 75 10%
Total 750 100%

GENDER. Do you consider yourself to be:

Frequency Percent
Male 368 49%
Female 377 50%
Other (Vol.) 3 *%
Don't Know/Refused 2 *%
Total 750 100%

INS. Are you, yourself, now covered by any form of health insurance or health plan or do you not have any health insurance at this time?

Frequency Percent
Yes, covered 697 93%
No, not covered 50 7%
Don't Know/Refused 3 *%
Total 750 100%

COVERED. Which type of health insurance do you now have? Is it a plan through your employer, (a plan through your spouse's employer,) a plan you purchased yourself, are you covered by Medicare or Medicaid, CHAMPUS OR VA CARE, some other government program, or do you get your health insurance from somewhere else?

Frequency Percent
Plan through own employer 297 43%
Plan through spouse's employer 85 12%
Plan purchased yourself 72 10%
Medicare 141 20%
Medicaid 12 2%
Champus of VA Care 28 4%
Some other government program 24 3%
Somewhere else 35 5%
Don't know/Refused 3 *%
Total 712 100%

NOTCOVERED. There are many reasons why people do not have health insurance. Which of the following five reasons best describes the reason you do not currently have health insurance? Is it because:

Frequency Percent
Another family member has health insurance, but it does not cover you 4 9%
You can't get coverage or were refused insurance due to poor health, illness, or age -- --%
It is too expensive 29 59%
You don't think you need it 4 7%
You don't know how to get insurance 4 8%
Some other reason I haven't mentioned 9 18%
Don't know/Refused -- --%
Total 35 100%

Q17. Please tell me which of the following general categories best describes your age:

Frequency Percent
18 to 24 52 7%
25 to 34 106 14%
35 to 44 86 11%
45 to 54 176 23%
55 to 64 155 21%
65 to 74 101 13%
75 or Older 71 10%
Don't know/Refused 3 *%
Total 750 100%

Q18. What is the last grade in school you completed?

Frequency Percent
Grade school 6 1%
Some high school 19 2%
High school graduate 145 19%
Some college 163 22%
4-Year college degree 172 23%
Some graduate school 31 4%
Graduate degree 99 13%
Technical school 13 2%
Don't know/Refused 0 *%
Total 750 100%

Q19. What is your current marital status? Are you currently married, widowed, divorced, separated, or have you never been married?

Frequency Percent
Married 450 60%
Widowed 49 7%
Divorced 75 10%
Separated 12 2%
Never been married 158 21%
Don't know/Refused 4 1%
Total 750 100%

Q20. What is your current employment status? Are you currently:

Frequency Percent
Employed 450 60%
A homemaker 38 5%
A student 29 4%
Retired 165 22%
Unemployed 24 3%
Something else 45 6%
Don't know/Refused 0 *%
Total 750 100%

Q21. Please estimate your total household income for 2017. Which of the following general categories best represents your total family income from 2017:

Frequency Percent
Less than $20,000 46 6%
$20,000 to less than $30,000 75 10%
$30,000 to less than $40,000 55 7%
$40,000 to less than $50,000 49 7%
$50,000 to less than $75,000 138 18%
$75,000 to $100,000 107 14%
More than $100,000 194 26%
Don't know/Refused 86 12%
Total 750 100%

Q22. Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an Independent, or something else?

Frequency Percent
Democrat 219 29%
Republican 190 25%
Independent 244 33%
Something Else 91 12%
Don't Know /Refused 5 1%
Total 750 100%

Q22a. Would you say you generally lean more toward Democrat or more toward Republican?

Frequency Percent
Democrat 124 37%
Republican 163 49%
Don't Know /Refused 48 14%
Total 324 100%

Q23. Please tell me with which of the following races do you most closely identify:

Frequency Percent
African-American/Black 103 14%
Caucasian/White 498 66%
Hispanic/Latino 22 3%
Asian-American 31 4%
More than one race 72 10%
Other 6 1%
Don't know/Refused 18 2%
Total 750 100%

Q23a. Please tell me the races with which you identify: (MARK ALL THAT APPLY)

Frequency Percent
African-American/Black 30 42%
Caucasian/White 47 65%
Hispanic/Latino 13 18%
Asian-American 14 19%
Other 31 43%
Don't know/Refused 3 5%
Total 65 100%