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Survey of 1,126 Democratic Registered Voters - Virginia Statewide - Democratic Presidential Primary Poll - June 2019

Democratic voters in Virginia weigh in on their choice of those vying for the democratic nomination for President of the United States and former Vice-President Joe Biden leads the pack according to the latest Hampton University Center for Public Policy (CPP) poll.

The survey of 1,126 registered voters who all self-identify as Democrat were asked the question, "If the election were held today, which one of the Democratic candidates currently running for President would you vote for to be the Democratic presidential candidate in 2020?

Joe Biden is at the top of the list of contenders with 36%, far ahead of Senator Bernie Sanders who landed in second place with 17%. While Senator Elizabeth Warren came in a close third with 13%, slightly ahead of Mayor Pete Buttigieg who captured 11% from those surveyed. Trailing the pack at the top are Senator Kamala Harris (7%), U.S. Representative Beto O'Rourke (3%), Senator Cory Booker (2%), former San Antonio, and Texas Mayor Julian Castro (2%). Entrepreneur Andrew Yang, Montana Governor Steve Bullock and Senator Kirsten Gillibrand all received 1% in the CPP survey. None of the other declared candidates received enough responses to register a percentage point.

The poll was conducted by the Center for Public Policy (CPP) at Hampton University and included 1,126 interviews of registered voters in Virginia who self-identify as Democrat. Using an adjusted and improved format to get the most accurate results, the CPP utilized the mail push to web format. Here, letters are sent inviting individuals to complete an online survey. Previous research done by the CPP found this approach yields more accurate results regarding voter profile and election outcomes.

The margin of error is +/- 4.3% for the full sample. For more details and the complete survey and Topline results, please CLICK HERE.

Key Demographics

The Center for Public Policy poll showed former Vice-President Joe Biden leading among women surveyed (41%), those 65 years of age and older (53%), with Blacks (58%) and in the Tidewater Region (42%).

Senator Bernie Sanders polled higher among men (21%), young registered voters between the ages of 18-34 (25%), whites (15%), and, in the Tidewater region (24%).

Of those surveyed who prefer Senator Elizabeth Warren, 14% were women, 17% were young voters ages 18-34 and 15% were white. Although she polled low statewide, she has more support in the Northern Virginia and the Northern Neck regions at 15%.

South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg is in fourth place in this survey and the last individual with double digit response rates among the democratic presidential candidates. He is favored by men (15%), 35-54 year olds (16%), whites (15%) and recognized more in the Northern Virginia and the Northern Neck regions (15%).

The Presidential Election is November 3, 2020.

Q1. If the election were held today, which one of the Democratic candidates currently running for President would you vote for to be the Democratic presidential candidate in 2020?

Percent
Former Vice President Joe Biden 36%
Senator Bernie Sanders 17%
Senator Elizabeth Warren 13%
Mayor Pete Buttigieg 11%
Senator Kamala Harris 7%
U.S. Representative Beto O’Rourke 3%
Senator Cory Booker 2%
Mayor Julian Castro 2%
Andrew Yang 1%
Governor Steve Bullock 1%
Senator Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Senator Amy Klobuchar *
U.S. Representative Seth Moulton *
Senator Michael Bennet *
Former U.S. Representative John Delaney *
Governor Jay Inslee *
U.S. Representative Tim Ryan *
Mayor Bill de Blasio *
U.S. Representative Tulsi Gabbard *
Marianne Williamson *
Former Governor John Hickenlooper *
U.S. Representative Eric Swalwell *
Mayor Wayne Messam --
Other 5%
Blank *
Note: Percentage less than 0.5 printed as *

Methodology

The statewide survey of registered Democratic voters in Virginia was conducted by a professional research center (SSRS –Social Science Research Solutions) for the Hampton University Center for Public Policy (CPP) under the general direction of Kelly Harvey-Viney, JD. The sample was attained from the registered Democratic voter list for Virginia. These data were weighted to reflect the voter registration population of Virginians ages 18 years of age and older. For online completes, SSRS applies a propensity score to model non-Internet households so that estimates can be projectable to the full U.S. population. The propensity score is an adjustment that is added to correct for bias inherent in online studies that do not cover households that do not have internet access. Following this step, the sample is post-stratified and balanced by key demographics such as age, race, sex, education, marital status, and region.

A sample of 1,126 registered voters in Virginia who self-identify as Democrat were interviewed for this survey. The survey field period, including letter distribution and data collection, began on May 29, 2019 and concluded on June 6, 2019.

The margin of error for the survey is +/- 4.3% for the full sample.